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+=1-off – Warming DA = |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===UQ – Carbon Emissions Low === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Global carbon emissions are way down ==== |
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+**McKenna 15** ~~Phil McKenna, Boston-based reporter for InsideClimate News, master's degree in Science W "Global CO2 Emissions Decline in 2015 After Soaring for a Decade, Study Says," Inside Climate News, December 7, 2015, https://insideclimatenews.org/news/07122015/global-carbon-emissions-rising-decades-decline-2015-study-climate-change-paris~~ JW |
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+The volume of carbon dioxide belched into the atmosphere from human activity this year is |
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+AND |
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+years but I think it's unlikely in the long run," he said. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===Link – Carbon Shift === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Closing nuclear plants forces increased fossil fuel use ==== |
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+**Roston 15** ~~Eric Roston, writer for Bloomberg, "Why Nuclear Power Is All but Dead in the U.S." Bloomberg News, April 15, 2015, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-15/soon-it-may-be-easier-to-build-a-nuclear-plant-in-iran-than-in-the-u-s-~~ JW |
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+*ellipsis from original text |
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+Say what? The U.S. achieved |
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+AND |
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+to figure out nuclear if that envelope is to mean anything to us." |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Nuclear power is key to preventing global warming- empirics prove.==== |
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+** Biello 13 –**David Biello 13, http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-nuclear-power-can-stop-global-warming/, citing James Hansen of Columbia University, How Nuclear Power Can Stop Global Warming |
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+In addition to reducing the risk of nuclear war, U.S. ~~ |
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+AND |
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+, director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, where Hansen works. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===IMPX – 2 Degrees Celsius === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Meeting the 2 degrees Celsius change is key to stopping climate change catastrophe ==== |
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+**Mastroianni 15** ~~Brian Mastroianni, "Why 2 degrees are so important to the climate," CBS News, November 30, 2015, http://www.cbsnews.com/news/paris-un-climate-talks-why-2-degrees-are-so-important/~~ |
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+As the United Nations conference on climate change gets underway Monday in Paris, one |
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+AND |
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+carbon emissions enough so that the 2-degree threshold is not crossed. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===IMPX – Extinction === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====High probability risk of extinction from climate change ==== |
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+**Meyer 4/29** ~~Robinson Meyer, associate editor at The Atlantic, where he covers technology, "Human Extinction Isn't That Unlikely," The Atlantic, April 29, 2016, http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2016/04/a-human-extinction-isnt-that-unlikely/480444/~~ JW |
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+Nuclear war. Climate change. Pandemics that kill tens of millions. These are |
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+AND |
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+climate scientists agree that the same phenomenon would follow any major nuclear exchange.) |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Ethical uncertainty means we prioritize existential risks. ==== |
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+**Bostrom 13** ~~Nick Bostrom, Professor in the Faculty of Philosophy @ University of Oxford, "Existential Risk Prevention as Global Priority," Global Policy Vol. 4 Issue 1, February 2013~~ |
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+These reflections on moral uncertainty suggest an alternative, complementary way of looking at existential |
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+AND |
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+of value. To do this, we must prevent any existential catastrophe. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+=2-off – Oil Wars DA= |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===UQ === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Nuclear energy makes a significant portion of the world energy supply ==== |
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+**NEI 16** ~~Nuclear Energy Institute, "Nuclear Energy Around the World," 2016, http://www.nei.org/Knowledge-Center/Nuclear-Statistics/World-Statistics~~ |
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+As of May 2016, 30 countries worldwide are operating 444 nuclear reactors for electricity |
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+AND |
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+nuclear energy to supply at least one-quarter of their total electricity. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===Link === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Japan proves that nuclear power reductions leads to more oil demand ==== |
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+**Patrick 15** ~~Hugh Patrick, Columbia Business School, "Japan's post-Fukushima energy challenge," East Asia Forum, November 23, 2015, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2015/11/23/japans-post-fukushima-energy-challenge/~~ JW |
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+Fossil fuels are the predominant energy sources for Japan. Japan has to import essentially |
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+AND |
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+cent before all of Japan's nuclear plants were closed following the Fukushima disaster). |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===IMPX – Oil Wars === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====This causes Western powers to become more aggressive in the protection of oil interests to keep prices stable and keep the flow of oil steady.==== |
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+**Jones 12** ~~Toby Craig Jones, associate professor of Middle East history at Rutgers University, New Brunswick, "America, Oil, and War in the Middle East," Journal of American History (2012) 99 (1): 208-218~~ |
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+Middle Eastern oil has enchanted global powers and global capital since the early twentieth century |
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+AND |
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+.3 Oil and war have become increasingly interconnected in the Middle East. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====This causes oil wars and imperialist oppression by western nations.==== |
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+**Jones 12** ~~Toby Craig Jones, associate professor of Middle East history at Rutgers University, New Brunswick, "America, Oil, and War in the Middle East," Journal of American History (2012) 99 (1): 208-218~~ |
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+Indeed, that relationship has become a seemingly permanent one. This outcome was not |
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+AND |
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+American regimes in power were central to U.S. strategic policy. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+=3-off – Thorium PIC = |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====CP Text: All relevant aff actors will ban the production of nuclear power with the exception of energy produced by thorium reactors. ==== |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Thorium reactors are the most promising form of energy production in the future ==== |
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+**Schaffer 13** ~~Marvin Baker Schaffer, researcher for RAND corporation with expertise in Accelerator Physics, Medical Physics, Nuclear Physics, "Abundant thorium as an alternative nuclear fuel: Important waste disposal and weapon proliferation advantages," Energy Policy Vol 60, September 13, 2013~~ JW |
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+The principal arguments for thorium rather than uranium as fuel for nuclear reactors are the |
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+AND |
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+amplifier approach warrants support provided affordable energetic proton accelerators are developed and demonstrated. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Mutually exclusive with the aff: the aff bans all nuclear energy production which would include thorium reactors==== |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Thorium reactors are extremely resilient to proliferation. Solves prolif ==== |
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+**Schaffer 13** ~~Marvin Baker Schaffer, researcher for RAND corporation with expertise in Accelerator Physics, Medical Physics, Nuclear Physics, "Abundant thorium as an alternative nuclear fuel: Important waste disposal and weapon proliferation advantages," Energy Policy Vol 60, September 13, 2013~~ JW |
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+Uranium-233 as transmuted in the thorium fuel cycle is typically contaminated with uranium |
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+AND |
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+uranium-233 can be denatured and made non-critical through dilution. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Thorium reactors are also way safer than traditional nuclear plants ==== |
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+**Jacoby 15** ~~Mitch Jacoby, senior correspondent at Civil and Engineering News, "Trying to Unleash the Power of Uranium," Civil and Engineering News, July 6, 2015, http://cen.acs.org/articles/93/i27/Trying-Unleash-Power-Thorium.html~~ JW |
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+Finally, thorium comes with safety benefits, its proponents claim. So-called |
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+AND |
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+prevent the spread of radioactive material without the need for plant operator intervention. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+=Case = |
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+ |
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+ |
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+===Meltdowns === |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Accidents are rare, nuclear power is the safest==== |
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+**Walsh 13** – Bryan, Writes for Time ("Nuclear Energy Is Largely Safe. But Can It Be Cheap?" http://science.time.com/2013/07/08/nuclear-energy-is-largely-safe-but-can-it-be-cheap/) CR |
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+Is it safe? That's what most people — brought up on Three Mile Island |
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+AND |
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+save hydro and renewables, doesn't contribute to man-made climate change. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Alternatives are worse ==== |
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+**Waldman 15 **- Susanne, PhD in Risk Communication at Carleton University ("Why we Need Nuclear Power to Save the Environment" http://energyforhumanity.org/climate-energy/need-nuclear-power-save-environment/) CR |
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+What about safety? The accident at Fukushima after the Japanese tsunami in 2011 has |
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+AND |
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+-free power for keeping our world safe from biodiversity and climate impacts. |