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Details

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1 +The standard is maximizing expected well being.
2 +1. Psychological evidence proves we don’t identify with our future selves. Continuous personal identity doesn’t exist.
3 +Alisa Opar (articles editor at Audubon magazine; cites Hal Hershfield, an assistant professor at New York University’s Stern School of Business; and Emily Pronin, a psychologist at Princeton) “Why We Procrastinate” Nautilus January 2014
4 +“The British philosopher Derek Parfit espoused a severely reductionist view of personal identity in
5 +AND
6 +to practice being good to others. One of them might be you.”
7 +This means util is the only coherent moral theory.
8 +A. Since a there is not continuous persons, distribution of goods among people is irrelevant, so we just maximize benefits among people.
9 +B. It is impossible to violate a constraint since identity is in constant flux. Anything such as a promise a made a year ago is no long my promise, etc.
10 +2. Public policy necessitates tradeoffs—that means util.
11 +Gary Woller BYU Prof., “An Overview by Gary Woller”, A Forum on the Role of Environmental Ethics, June 1997, pg. 10
12 +“Moreover, virtually all public policies entail some redistribution of economic or political resources
13 +AND
14 +unreasonableness while failing to adequately address the problem or actually making it worse.”
15 +A. Takes out util indicts—governments already use it in the squo, so calc indicts are empirically denied.
16 +B. Any theory based in constraints is useless. Government action inevitably violates some principle, so util is most plausible.
17 +C. Util is comparatively better to any other ethical theory—non-consequentialist theories paralyze government action which is always worse than a risk of not being able to use util.
18 +Resolved: Countries will phase out nuclear power by 2030.
19 +Caroline Lucas 12 (MP for Brighton Pavilion and a member of the cross-party parliamentary environment audit committee). “Why We Must Phase Out Nuclear Power”. The Gaurdian, 17 Feb 2012. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/feb/17/phase-out-nuclear-power RC
20 +The inherent risk in the use of nuclear energy, as well as the related
21 +AND
22 +of a number of its ageing reactors by to up to 60 years.
23 +Advantage One: Proliferation
24 +Nuclear power substantially increases the probability of a nuclear terrorist attack happening.
25 +Bryan Early 13 (Associate Professor and Director of the Center for Policy Research and Project on International Security, Commerce, and Economic Statecraft, Departments of Political Science and Public Administration and Policy, University at Albany, SUNY), Matthew Fuhrmann, and Quan Li. "Atoms for Terror? Nuclear Programs and Non-Catastrophic Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism." British Journal of Political Science 43.04 (2013): 915-936.
26 +The presence and size of civilian nuclear infrastructure affects terrorist groups’ cost–benefit calculus
27 +AND
28 +-Qaeda agent worked in five US nuclear plants from 2002 to 2008.
29 +Terrorists are constantly trying to get into nuclear facilities and have even been successful in some cases. Even if they aren’t successful, it is still horrible for society.
30 +Bryan Early 13 (Associate Professor and Director of the Center for Policy Research and Project on International Security, Commerce, and Economic Statecraft, Departments of Political Science and Public Administration and Policy, University at Albany, SUNY), Matthew Fuhrmann, and Quan Li. "Atoms for Terror? Nuclear Programs and Non-Catastrophic Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism." British Journal of Political Science 43.04 (2013): 915-936.
31 +Nuclear power has become increasingly appealing as an alternative energy source due to growing energy
32 +AND
33 +noncatastrophic incidents occur even if they have not resulted in many human casualties.
34 +And, nuclear power plant encourages countries to pursue nuclear weapons which substantially increases the likelihood of proliferation.
35 +Matthew Fuhrmann 09 (Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of South Carolina) Spreading Temptation, International Security, Vol. 34, No. 1 (Summer 2009), pp. 7–41
36 +This article argues that the conventional wisdom is wrong—and dangerous. All types
37 +AND
38 +. Fourth, this is especially true when a country’s security environment deteriorates.
39 +And, it is empirically proven—simply engaging in the production of nuclear power increase risk of proliferation.
40 +Robert Brown 14 (Professor Department of Political Science, Temple University,) and Jeffrey M. Kaplow. "Talking peace, making weapons IAEA technical cooperation and nuclear proliferation." Journal of Conflict Resolution (2014).
41 +Fuel cycle TC therefore has a positive and statistically significant association with nuclear weapons programs
42 +AND
43 +more than five times (from .14 percent to .75 percent).
44 +Terrorism causes extinction – defense mechanisms don’t check and a nuclear response is automated.
45 +Barrett et al 13—PhD in Engineering and Public Policy from Carnegie Mellon University, Fellow in the RAND Stanton Nuclear Security Fellows Program, and Director of Research at Global Catastrophic Risk Institute—AND Seth Baum, PhD in Geography from Pennsylvania State University, Research Scientist at the Blue Marble Space Institute of Science, and Executive Director of Global Catastrophic Risk Institute—AND Kelly Hostetler, BS in Political Science from Columbia and Research Assistant at Global Catastrophic Risk Institute (Anthony, 24 June 2013, “Analyzing and Reducing the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear War Between the United States and Russia,” Science and Global Security: The Technical Basis for Arms Control, Disarmament, and Nonproliferation Initiatives, Volume 21, Issue 2, Taylor and Francis)
46 +War involving significant fractions of the U.S. and Russian nuclear arsenals,
47 +AND
48 +making one or both nations more likely to misinterpret events as attacks. 16
49 +Advantage Two: Pollution
50 +Nuclear energy is simply not a viable to way to base a countries energy policy—its far to expensive and requires too much time to build. It also halts progress being made on renewable energy—nuclear energy is not a viable long term solution.
51 +Nick Stockton 16 (reporter for Wired). “Nuclear Power Is Too Safe To Save The World From Climate Change”. Wired.com, 4.3.16. RC
52 +So nuclear energy, not very dangerous. Three cheers for concrete, plumbing,
53 +AND
54 +, society could save the uranium for cool stuff like powering interplanetary spaceships.
55 +Progress in being made in the energy sector, but nuclear energy halts that with a false sense of security.
56 +Michael T. Klare 15 (Expert on renewable and fossil fuel energy). "The Age of Wind and Solar Is Closer Than You Think". Scientific American, 2015. http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-age-of-wind-and-solar-is-closer-than-you-think/ RC
57 +There are, of course, many obstacles to the effective control of carbon emissions
58 +AND
59 +its superior price for delivered power over oil and gas-fired plants.
60 +And, the best studies prove that nuclear power accelerates global warming.
61 +Andrea Germanos 8/23 (senior editor and staff writer for Common Dreams, a progressive news source), New Study Casts Doubt on the Future of Nuclear Power, 8/23/2016, Ecowatch.
62 +While it's been touted by some energy experts as a so-called "bridge
63 +AND
64 +a nuclear renaissance in the near-term, at least in Europe."
65 +Advantage 3: Mining
66 +Uranium mining is an ecological nightmare—it produces mass waste and contaminates water supplies.
67 +David Thorpe 08 (David Thorpe is a freelance environmental journalist and a news editor for Defra's Energy, Resource, Sustainable and Environmental Management magazine). " Extracting a Disaster". The Gaurdian, 2008. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2008/dec/05/nuclear-greenpolitics
68 +To produce the 25 tonnes or so of uranium fuel needed to keep your average
69 +AND
70 +carbon cost is often not in the country where the fuel is consumed.
71 +And, uranium mining is horribly inefficient and uses up resources—that causes conflicts.
72 +Carlo Koos 12 (a political scientist and research fellow at the GIGA Institute of African Affairs. He is a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Hamburg), and Matthias Basedau. "Does uranium mining increase civil conflict risk? Evidence from a spatiotemporal analysis of Africa from 1945 to 2010." German Institute of Global and Area Studies 205 (2012).
73 +In 2009 Africa accounted for 18 percent of global uranium production (WNA 2011a).
74 +AND
75 +that feel excluded from the benefits but nevertheless have to carry the burden.
76 +Water crises cause escalating global conflict.
77 +Rasmussen 11 (Erik, CEO, Monday Morning; Founder, Green Growth Leaders) “Prepare for the Next Conflict: Water Wars” HuffPo 4/12
78 +For years experts have set out warnings of how the earth will be affected by
79 +AND
80 +and "business as usual" prevails, then water wars will accelerate.
81 +That goes nuclear
82 +Zahoor 12 (Musharaf, Researcher at Department of Nuclear Politics – National Defense University, Water Crisis can Trigger Nuclear War in South Asia, http://www.siasat.pk)
83 +Water is an ambient source, which unlike human beings does not respect boundaries.
84 +AND
85 +being faced by Pakistan, which can only be resolved through political will.
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1 +Kim Hsun
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1 +Cy-Fair
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1 +Strake Jesuit Cook Neg
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1 +Grapevine

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