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-=Elections DA= |
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-**===Hillary Clinton is leading in the polls===** |
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-**Stein**, Jeff. "Donald Trump's Doing Better in the Polls. Here's What's Going On." Vox. Vox Media, **01 Sept. 2016. **Web. 02 Sept. 2016. http://www.vox.com/2016/9/1/12749102/hillary-clinton-polling-august. |
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-**RCP has Clinton up by 4.6 points. The Huffington Post has |
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-AND |
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-reason to believe that dire scenarios or radically changing poll numbers will happen. |
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-===Hillary directly tied to Obama=== |
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-**Collins**, Eliza. "Historians: Clinton, Obama Tied Together No Matter What." USA Today. Gannett, 09 Aug. 20**16**. Web. 02 Sept. 2016. http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/08/08/historians-clinton-obama-approval/88068172/. |
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-For better or worse, **Hillary Clinton’s success in November will be closely tied |
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-to portray a potential Clinton presidency as an extension of the Obama administration**. |
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-===Swing states are key=== |
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-**Silver 7/15/16 **(Nate, Founder and Editor in Chief of FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: 10 Questions About Where the 2016 Race Stands" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-10-questions-about-where-the-2016-race-stands/ - KSA) |
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-**Which states shape up as most important?** We recently relaunched our tipping- |
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-her to have a firewall of states that she can feel comfortable about**. |
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-==Link – Public Support== |
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-**Bisconti**, Ann S. "Public Opinion on Nuclear Energy: What Influences It." Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. N.p., **27 Apr. 2016**. Web. 03 Sept. 2016. http://thebulletin.org/public-opinion-nuclear-energy-what-influences-it9379. Ann S. Bisconti is founder and president of Bisconti Research, Inc., a Maryland-based public opinion and communications research company that focuses on energy issues |
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-The NEI spring 2016 survey included, among many other questions about nuclear energy, |
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-(54 percent) **as strongly opposed it** (18 percent). |
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-==Trump Bad – Economy== |
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-====Multiple comprehensive analyses show that Trump is a disaster for the US and global economy==== |
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-**Timiraos, 6/20** (Nick Timiraos, national economics correspondent for the WSJ who covers major economic news such as the 2008 recession, 6-20-16, "U.S. Economy Would Be ‘Diminished’ Under Trump’s Economic Plan, New Analysis Says" The Wall Street Journal, "http://blogs.wsj.com/eco nomics/2016/06/20/u-s-economy-would-be-diminished-under-trumps-economic-plan-new-analysis-says/"accessed 7-13-16, AG) |
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-A new analysis concludes **Donald Trump’s economic proposals**, taken at face value, |
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-and also boost inflation as labor costs run higher**, the report said. |
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-====We isolate three economic scenarios if Trump were to take office==== |
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-**Covert, 3/2** (Bryce Covert, editor at ThinkProgress and a writer for The Nation, "Donald Trump’s Presidency Would Plunge the U.S. Into a Deep Recession," Slate Magazine, 3-2-16, "http://www.slate.com/articles/news'and'politics/politics/2016/03/donald'trump's'presidency'would'create 'a'deep'recession.html, accessed 7-13-2016, AG) |
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-====1. Tariffs– Trump’s tariff policies with countries like China and Mexico have disastrous impacts on the global scale==== |
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-If President Trump puts these plans into effect, there is no way they would |
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-hurt American companies, who would **likely** cut back on jobs.** |
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-====2. Tax Plan – Cutting taxes on the rich would result in increases in income inequality==== |
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-The candidate declared that his plan would offer the poor and middle class relief while |
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-hand, is faster growth in income inequality, which hurts economic growth.** |
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-====3. Immigration Policy – Trump’s costly immigration plan would have adverse short-term and long-term effects on the US economy==== |
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-We turn to Trump’s brand of immigration reform, which wouldn’t help the economy either |
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-that boosts economic productivity** and mobility, to name only a few. |
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-====Economic decline causes war—strong statistical support.==== |
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-**Royal 10** — Jedidiah Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, M.Phil. Candidate at the University of New South Wales, 2010 ("Economic Integration, Economic Signalling and the Problem of Economic Crises," Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Edited by Ben Goldsmith and Jurgen Brauer, Published by Emerald Group Publishing, ISBN 0857240048, p. 213-215) |
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-Less intuitive is how **periods of economic decline** may **increase the likelihood |
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-such, the view presented here should be considered ancillary to those views. |