Changes for page Lexington Rourke Aff

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From version < 24.1 >
edited by Oliver Rourke
on 2016/12/11 16:57
To version < 4.1 >
edited by Oliver Rourke
on 2016/09/23 04:12
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Summary

Details

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1 -Email: ollierourke55@gmail.com
2 -Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ollierourke55 or search me at Ollie Rourke
3 -
4 -If you have any questions about disclosure, feel free to email or message me. I will probably respond quicker if you use Facebook. I disclose all broken positions, but may also read a position from any of my teammate's wikis.
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1 -INTERPRETATION- Debaters must disclose all broken cases on the NDCA wiki under their own name. In this disclosure, they must post cites, tags, and first three and last three words of all cards read. Debaters may begin disclosing at any point during the season, but they must disclose all broken cases at least an hour before this round in order to meet my interp, regardless of whether the tournament requires disclosure.
2 -
3 -Strat
4 -Clash
5 -Academic Integrity
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1 -Lexington Rourke Aff
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1 -Disclose or Lose
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1 -QI- Ableism 1AC
2 -
3 -Framing
4 -
5 -Structural violence necessitates the exclusion of certain groups—this renders ethical theories meaningless
6 -
7 -Winter and Leighton 99
8 -
9 - Winter and Leighton ‘99 Deborah DuNann Winter (Professor of Psychology Department of Psychology Whitman College) and Dana sC. Leighton (Ph.D. I teach and do research in social psychology and peace psychology.). Winter "Peace, conflict, and violence: Peace psychology in the 21st century."
10 -Finally, to recognize the operation
11 -AND
12 -building lasting peace.
13 -
14 -
15 -Ableism operates as foundational tactic of oppression that must be resisted
16 -
17 -Siebers 09
18 -University of Michigan, Professor of Literary and Cultural Criticism ¶ (Tobin, “The Aesthetics of Human Disqualification”, Oct 28, Lecture, http://www.google.com/url?sa=tandrct=jandq=andesrc=sandsource=webandcd=1andved=0CCoQFjAAandurl=http3A2F2Fdisabilities.temple.edu2Fmedia2Fds2Flecture20091028siebersAesthetics_FULL.docandei=LWz4T6jyN8bHqAHLkY2LCQandusg=AFQjCNGdkDuSJkRXMHgbXqvuyyeDpldVcQandsig2=UCGDC4tHbeh2j7-Yce9lsA, accessed 7/7/12, sl)
19 -Oppression is the systematic victimization of one group by another. It is a form
20 -AND
21 -represents at this moment in time the final frontier of justifiable human inferiority.
22 -
23 -Thus, the Role of the ballot is to endorse the strategy for resisting ableist oppression
24 -
25 -Social constructions of disability are the root cause of other forms of oppression since the drive for normalization and the desire for aesthetic coherence forms the basis of our politics—thus, the Role of the judge is to facilitate disability scholarship.
26 -
27 -Siebers 10
28 - Tobin, Professor of English at the University of Michigan, Disability Aesthetics, pg. 58-63
29 -These two episodes may seem worlds apart, their resemblance superficial. The first turns
30 -AND
31 -kids that do weird things. (Cited by Fine and Asch 48)
32 -
33 -Offense
34 -
35 -Plan Text: The United States federal government should overturn San Francisco v Sheehan and rule that police officers found to have violated the Americans with Disabilities act (or ADA) should be denied qualified immunity.
36 -
37 -Contention 1- Accountability
38 -
39 -The court’s decision in San Fransico v. Sheehan ruled that officer’s actions need not comply with the ADA to be granted qualified immunity
40 -
41 -SCOTUS 15
42 - SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES. Syllabus CITY AND COUNTY OF SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA, ET AL. v. SHEEHAN CERTIORARI TO THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT. No. 13–1412. Argued March 23, 2015—Decided May 18, 2015 201. RW
43 -Respondent Sheehan lived in a group home for individuals with mental illness. After Sheehan
44 -AND
45 -ill person who has been acting irrationally and has threatened anyone who enters.
46 -
47 -That makes legal recourse for disabled people impossible, weakens ADA protections and justifies police atrocities—training doesn’t solve
48 -
49 -Çevik 15
50 - Mrs. Kerima Çevik is curently a blogger for disabilty rights, autistic inclusion, accommodation, communication rights, and representation. A parent activist, editor and contributing writer who consults on Autism and Ethnicity, she blogs on topics of critical race, intersectionality, autism and social justice. An independent researcher, she focuses on shining a light on disparities in qualify of life for marginalized intersected disabled populations and their families through grassroots community building activities and pay it forward activism models. She is a married mother of two children, and world traveler currently homeschooling her adventurous son Mustafa, who is intensely Autistic and nonspeaking.. Standing at the intersectino of adolescence, race, and disability. The Autism Wars. June 9, 2015. http://theautismwars.blogspot.com/2015/06/standing-at-intersection-of-adolescence.html. RW
51 -When I realized that roughly 70 of people with disabilities encountered law enforcement more
52 -AND
53 -no one will ever answer for the innocent lives taken that day either.
54 -
55 -Qualified immunity as a defense legitimizes ableist stigmas and enables police killings—that’s a state-sanctioned form of structural violence that normalize genocidal practices—accountability is at the heart of this problem
56 -
57 -Mack 16
58 - Tracy Mack. January 6, 2016. International Socialists. Legitmizing police violence: Sanism, ableism, and racism. http://www.socialist.ca/node/2978. RW
59 -Even when damning evidence exists against Toronto police officers, they have not been held
60 -AND
61 -legitimized practice of the state and of the social order that authorizes it.
62 -
63 -Plan solves—Overturning San Fransisco v. Sheehan is key to stop ableist police violence by holding police accountable for their actions—it also enables more effective policing
64 -
65 -Perry 15
66 - David M. Perry. Aljazeera America. A chance to reduce police killings of the disabled. March 23, 2015. http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2015/3/a-chance-to-reduce-police-killings-of-the-disabled.html. RW
67 -Twenty-five years after the passage of the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA
68 -AND
69 -officers did not reasonably accommodate her disability. Furthermore, her attorneys argue that
70 -
71 -Threat of litigation specifically in ADA cases incentivizes better policing and catalyzes reform necessary for inclusion
72 -
73 -Auner 16
74 - Thomas J. Auner. “For the Protection of Society's Most Vulnerable, the ADA Should Apply to Arrests." Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review 49.1 (2016). RW
75 -When courts deem the ADA applicable to specific situations, public and private entities typically
76 -AND
77 -but more importantly, will tangibly improve the safety of the mentally ill.
78 -
79 -ADA lawsuits are a crucial check on state power—reforming qualified immunity is a good first step to transform the criminal justice landscape to better suit the needs of disabled people
80 -
81 -Perry 2
82 - David M. Perry. Aljazeera America. A chance to reduce police killings of the disabled. March 23, 2015. http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2015/3/a-chance-to-reduce-police-killings-of-the-disabled.html. RW
83 -tthe violation of the ADA should exempts the officers from qualified immunity,
84 -AND
85 -need legal reform to convince law enforcement of that on a national level.
86 -
87 -Qualified immunity blocks larger social movements by fragmenting systemic problems into individual cases—the aff is key
88 -
89 -Hassel 99
90 - Hassel, Diana. "Living a Lie: The cost of Qualified Immunity" Winter 1999. Volume 64. Missouri law Review. Available at: http://scholarship.law.missouri.edu/mlr/vol64/iss1/9 NB
91 -The problem with qualified immunity is not so much that the outcomes are sometimes unfair
92 -AND
93 -us peace, but it keeps from us the tools required for reform.
94 -
95 -Contention 2- Competence
96 -
97 -Qualified immunity cases are decided based on a standard of “reasonable competence”—letting good officers off the hook and punishing the incompetent ones
98 -
99 -Blum 13
100 - Karen M. Blum. Suffolk University Law School. February 1, 2013. Qualified immunity: Update on absolute immunity. http://www.njd.uscourts.gov/sites/njd/files/Section1983QualifiedImmunity.pdf. RW
101 -Messerschmidt v. Millender, 132 S. Ct. 1235, 1244-51
102 -AND
103 -not entitled to the shield of immunity, even after Van de Kamp.”).
104 -
105 -The law enforcement and justice system’s perpetuation of competent/incompetent binaries institutionalize ableist violence and marginalization—rejecting them is a key form of resistance
106 -
107 -Brown 13
108 - Lydia X.Z. Brown. Organizer, Editor, Writer, Speaker. Interrogation of competency in the mentally disabled subject. May 25, 2013. http://www.autistichoya.com/2013/05/interrogating-competency-in-mentally.html. RW
109 -Those of us who live with psychiatric, developmental, and neurological disabilities know intimately
110 -AND
111 -those are only the natural consequences of such and systemic ableism.
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1 -2016-12-09 23:47:45.0
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1 -Andres Monclut
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1 -Montville RM
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1 -NovDec - Ableism 1AC
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1 -Armenia AC
2 -
3 -Part One: Framing
4 -The Standard is Maximizing Expected Well Being.
5 -
6 -1.) Pain provides an objective for badness – anything else is abstraction.
7 -Gray 09
8 -Gray, James W. "An Argument for Moral Realism." Ethical Realism. N.p., 07 Oct. 2009. Web. 04 Sept. 2015. https://ethicalrealism.wordpress.com/2009/10/07/an-argument-for-moral-realism/. MA in philosophy from San Jose State University (2008)
9 -If we have evidence that anything in particular has intrinsic value, then we also
10 -AND
11 -attempt to show that the alternatives are less justified in the next section.
12 -
13 -2.) Non ideal theory good.
14 -Mills 05
15 -Charles W. Mills, “Ideal Theory” as Ideology, 2005
16 -I suggest that this spontaneous reaction, far from being philosophically naïve or jejune
17 -AND
18 -that the ideal-as-idealized-model will never be achieved.
19 -
20 -Part Two: Solvency
21 -
22 -Plan Text:
23 -
24 -The Republic of Armenia ought to prohibit production of nuclear power by partnering with the European Union to facilitate decommission of their only nuclear power plant: Metsamor. I reserve the right to clarify in CX.
25 -Anadolu 14
26 -Anadolu, Agency. “Turkey wants nuclear plant in Armenia to be shut down”. Daily News. http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-wants-nuclear-plant-in-armenia-to-be-shut-down~-~-~-~-~-~-.aspx?pageID=238andnid=63928. 3/21/14 LBE
27 -The Metsamor nuclear power plant in Armenia is outdated and should be urgently closed down
28 -AND
29 -, defying safety risk concerns voiced by a number of groups at home.
30 -
31 -Process
32 -
33 -EU covers funding due to safety concerns.
34 -Hadzhieva 16
35 -Eli Hadzhieva, Eli Hadzhieva is Director and founder of Dialogue for Europe, a Brussels-based NGO. She previously served in the European Parliament and in OCDE. Easy target for terrorists: Armenia’s Metsamor nuclear plant. https://www.euractiv.com/section/europe-s-east/opinion/easy-target-for-terrorists-armenias-metsamor-nuclear-plant/ NG
36 -On numerous occasions, the EU has called for the ‘earliest possible closure’ of
37 -AND
38 -, as the power plant accounts for 40 of Armenia’s electricity supplies.
39 -
40 -EU covers transition to renewables.
41 -Azeri 16
42 -Azeri press news agency. “Azerbaijan should bring the closure of the Metsamor nuclear power plant in the agenda of the UN”. Energy Central News. http://www.energycentral.com/news/azerbaijan-should-bring-closure-metsamor-nuclear-power-plant-agenda-un 5/15/16 LBE
43 -Zahid Oruj said that in April, during an unsuccessful 4-day war for
44 -AND
45 -. As if the Metsamor nuclear power plant was on an auction. "
46 -
47 -EU grant means plan directly transitions to renewable energy.
48 -Vorotnikov 16
49 -Vorotnikov, Vladislav. “Legislative Reform to Promote Solar Energy in Armenia”. Renewable Energy World. Vladislav Vorotnikov After graduating from the journalistic faculty of the Voronezh State University in Russia specializating of agricultural management, Vladislav began working in the one of Russian largest livestock news and trading service Agro.ru. http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/06/legislative-reform-to-promote-solar-energy-in-armenia.html. 6/1/16 LBE
50 -The Armenian Parliament on May 12 adopted the second and final reading draft amendments “
51 -AND
52 -, hydroelectric and thermal power stations, will make this transition less painful.”
53 -
54 -Part Three: Advantage
55 -
56 -One: Renewables
57 -
58 -Nuclear ban fuels interest in renewables.
59 -Korosec 11
60 -Korosec, Kirsten. “Germany’s nuclear ban: the global effect” CBS News. Author for CBS and Forbes. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/germanys-nuclear-ban-the-global-effect/ . 5/31/11 LBE
61 -Germany is already a world leader in renewable energy. Today, renewable energy provides
62 -AND
63 -opportunity, will enter the market and existing renewable energy businesses will expand.
64 -
65 -Coming energy reform supercharges transition to renewables.
66 -McGinnity 15
67 -McGinnity, Ian. “Armenia at an Energy Crossroads”. RSC. http://regional-studies.org/blog/443-010415. 4/1/15 LBE
68 -Despite Armenia’s progress, the country now faces challenging questions about its energy future.
69 -AND
70 -With so much on the line, there is little margin for error.
71 -
72 -Comprehensive analysis proves - renewable energy in Armenia is economically viable, and would create economic growth, reduce harm to the environment, and improve national security. Multiple impacts.
73 -Touryan et al No Date
74 -Areg Gharabegian1 , Artak Hambarian2 , Morten Søndergaard3 , Kenell Touryan4. “Renewable Energy in Armenia”. Danish Energy Management. Hetq.am. 1 - Areg Gharabegian is a principal project manager with Parsons, Pasadena, CA. 2 - Artak Hambarian is a professor in School of Engineering of American University of Armenia, Yerevan, Armenia. 3 - Morten Søndergaard is a project manager with Danish Energy Management, Denmark. 4 - Kenell Touryan is a visiting professor in School of Engineering of American University of Armenia, Yerevan, Armenia and retired researcher from NREL, Denver, CO. http://hetq.am/static/content/pdf/Renewable_Energy_in_Armenia_9-17-11.pdf . No date LBE
75 -The findings of a comprehensive review of renewable energy potential in Armenia have ranked small
76 -AND
77 -, which in turn could be a major component of Armenia’s national security.
78 -
79 -Two: Azerbaijan War
80 -
81 -Azerbaijan wants the plant closed due to empirical terrorism concerns – existence of the plant harms relations.
82 -Azeri 16
83 -Azeri press news agency. “Azerbaijan should bring the closure of the Metsamor nuclear power plant in the agenda of the UN”. Energy Central News. http://www.energycentral.com/news/azerbaijan-should-bring-closure-metsamor-nuclear-power-plant-agenda-un 5/15/16 LBE
84 -According to the parliamentarian, though the Metsamor nuclear power plant is not a nuclear
85 -AND
86 -the existence of the plant is a threat not only to Azerbaijan. "
87 -
88 -An Armenia-Azerbaijan war is extremely likely – relations are key.
89 -Amos 16
90 -Amos, Howard. “Rare Deadly Blast Hits Armenian Capital; Terrorist Attack Feared”. IBTimes. Howard Amos is the Russia correspondent for IBT Media/Newsweek. http://www.ibtimes.com/rare-deadly-blast-hits-armenian-capital-terrorist-attack-feared-2359440. 4/25/16 LBE
91 -Four days of clashes between Azerbaijani and Armenian troops in early April in Nagorno-
92 -AND
93 -war could break out “at any moment” in Nagorno-Karabakh.
94 -
95 -The nuclear issue is a source of regional conflict.
96 -Shaffer 16
97 -Shaffer, Brenda. “Fighting in the Caucasus: Implications for the Wider Region”. The Washington Institute. Brenda Shaffer is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Center for Eurasian, Russian, and East European Studies. She has also provided energy research and analysis to various governments and companies, including in Azerbaijan and the wider Caspian region. http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/fighting-in-the-caucasus-implications-for-the-wider-region. 4/7/16 LBE
98 -While Baku and Yerevan blame each other for the outburst of renewed fighting on April
99 -AND
100 -to strengthen cooperation between Washington and Baku after two years of rocky relations.
101 -
102 -This war would go global.
103 -Shaffer 16
104 -Shaffer, Brenda. “Fighting in the Caucasus: Implications for the Wider Region”. The Washington Institute. Brenda Shaffer is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Center for Eurasian, Russian, and East European Studies. She has also provided energy research and analysis to various governments and companies, including in Azerbaijan and the wider Caspian region. http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/fighting-in-the-caucasus-implications-for-the-wider-region. 4/7/16 LBE
105 -The current escalation could also draw in actors beyond the Caucasus, including in the
106 -AND
107 -its disposal to coerce the Israelis given its ongoing intervention in neighboring Syria.
108 -
109 -Global war goes nuclear.
110 -Nichols 14
111 -Nichols, Tom. “Five ways a nuclear wat could still happen”. The National Interest. Tom Nichols is Professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval War College and an adjunct at the Harvard Extension School. His most recent book is No Use: Nuclear Weapons and U.S. National Security (University of Pennsylvania, 2014) The views expressed are his own. http://nationalinterest.org/feature/five-ways-nuclear-war-could-still-happen-10665?page=4. 6/16/14 LBE
112 -As we move from mechanical errors to human agency, things actually get scarier.
113 -AND
114 -have a clarifying, rather than a panicking, effect on the enemy.
115 -
116 -Nuclear war leads to extinction.
117 -Starr 15
118 -Starr, Steven. “Nuclear War, Nuclear Winter, and Human Extinction” Federation of American Scientists. Steven Starr is the director of the University of Missouri’s Clinical Laboratory Science Program, as well as a senior scientist at the Physicians for Social Responsibility. https://fas.org/pir-pubs/nuclear-war-nuclear-winter-and-human-extinction/. 10/14/15 LBE
119 -Following the detonation (in conflict) of US and/or Russian launch-
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1 -SeptOct- Armenia 1AC
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1 -2016-12-09 23:47:43.0
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1 -Andres Monclut
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1 -2016-12-11 16:57:32.0
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1 +Armenia AC
2 +
3 +Part One: Framing
4 +The Standard is Maximizing Expected Well Being.
5 +
6 +1.) Pain provides an objective for badness – anything else is abstraction.
7 +Gray 09
8 +Gray, James W. "An Argument for Moral Realism." Ethical Realism. N.p., 07 Oct. 2009. Web. 04 Sept. 2015. https://ethicalrealism.wordpress.com/2009/10/07/an-argument-for-moral-realism/. MA in philosophy from San Jose State University (2008)
9 +If we have evidence that anything in particular has intrinsic value, then we also
10 +AND
11 +attempt to show that the alternatives are less justified in the next section.
12 +
13 +2.) Non ideal theory good.
14 +Mills 05
15 +Charles W. Mills, “Ideal Theory” as Ideology, 2005
16 +I suggest that this spontaneous reaction, far from being philosophically naïve or jejune
17 +AND
18 +that the ideal-as-idealized-model will never be achieved.
19 +
20 +Part Two: Solvency
21 +
22 +Plan Text:
23 +
24 +The Republic of Armenia ought to prohibit production of nuclear power by partnering with the European Union to facilitate decommission of their only nuclear power plant: Metsamor. I reserve the right to clarify in CX.
25 +Anadolu 14
26 +Anadolu, Agency. “Turkey wants nuclear plant in Armenia to be shut down”. Daily News. http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-wants-nuclear-plant-in-armenia-to-be-shut-down~-~-~-~-~-~-.aspx?pageID=238andnid=63928. 3/21/14 LBE
27 +The Metsamor nuclear power plant in Armenia is outdated and should be urgently closed down
28 +AND
29 +, defying safety risk concerns voiced by a number of groups at home.
30 +
31 +Process
32 +
33 +EU covers funding due to safety concerns.
34 +Hadzhieva 16
35 +Eli Hadzhieva, Eli Hadzhieva is Director and founder of Dialogue for Europe, a Brussels-based NGO. She previously served in the European Parliament and in OCDE. Easy target for terrorists: Armenia’s Metsamor nuclear plant. https://www.euractiv.com/section/europe-s-east/opinion/easy-target-for-terrorists-armenias-metsamor-nuclear-plant/ NG
36 +On numerous occasions, the EU has called for the ‘earliest possible closure’ of
37 +AND
38 +, as the power plant accounts for 40 of Armenia’s electricity supplies.
39 +
40 +EU covers transition to renewables.
41 +Azeri 16
42 +Azeri press news agency. “Azerbaijan should bring the closure of the Metsamor nuclear power plant in the agenda of the UN”. Energy Central News. http://www.energycentral.com/news/azerbaijan-should-bring-closure-metsamor-nuclear-power-plant-agenda-un 5/15/16 LBE
43 +Zahid Oruj said that in April, during an unsuccessful 4-day war for
44 +AND
45 +. As if the Metsamor nuclear power plant was on an auction. "
46 +
47 +EU grant means plan directly transitions to renewable energy.
48 +Vorotnikov 16
49 +Vorotnikov, Vladislav. “Legislative Reform to Promote Solar Energy in Armenia”. Renewable Energy World. Vladislav Vorotnikov After graduating from the journalistic faculty of the Voronezh State University in Russia specializating of agricultural management, Vladislav began working in the one of Russian largest livestock news and trading service Agro.ru. http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/06/legislative-reform-to-promote-solar-energy-in-armenia.html. 6/1/16 LBE
50 +The Armenian Parliament on May 12 adopted the second and final reading draft amendments “
51 +AND
52 +, hydroelectric and thermal power stations, will make this transition less painful.”
53 +
54 +Part Three: Advantage
55 +
56 +One: Renewables
57 +
58 +Nuclear ban fuels interest in renewables.
59 +Korosec 11
60 +Korosec, Kirsten. “Germany’s nuclear ban: the global effect” CBS News. Author for CBS and Forbes. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/germanys-nuclear-ban-the-global-effect/ . 5/31/11 LBE
61 +Germany is already a world leader in renewable energy. Today, renewable energy provides
62 +AND
63 +opportunity, will enter the market and existing renewable energy businesses will expand.
64 +
65 +Coming energy reform supercharges transition to renewables.
66 +McGinnity 15
67 +McGinnity, Ian. “Armenia at an Energy Crossroads”. RSC. http://regional-studies.org/blog/443-010415. 4/1/15 LBE
68 +Despite Armenia’s progress, the country now faces challenging questions about its energy future.
69 +AND
70 +With so much on the line, there is little margin for error.
71 +
72 +Comprehensive analysis proves - renewable energy in Armenia is economically viable, and would create economic growth, reduce harm to the environment, and improve national security. Multiple impacts.
73 +Touryan et al No Date
74 +Areg Gharabegian1 , Artak Hambarian2 , Morten Søndergaard3 , Kenell Touryan4. “Renewable Energy in Armenia”. Danish Energy Management. Hetq.am. 1 - Areg Gharabegian is a principal project manager with Parsons, Pasadena, CA. 2 - Artak Hambarian is a professor in School of Engineering of American University of Armenia, Yerevan, Armenia. 3 - Morten Søndergaard is a project manager with Danish Energy Management, Denmark. 4 - Kenell Touryan is a visiting professor in School of Engineering of American University of Armenia, Yerevan, Armenia and retired researcher from NREL, Denver, CO. http://hetq.am/static/content/pdf/Renewable_Energy_in_Armenia_9-17-11.pdf . No date LBE
75 +The findings of a comprehensive review of renewable energy potential in Armenia have ranked small
76 +AND
77 +, which in turn could be a major component of Armenia’s national security.
78 +
79 +Two: Azerbaijan War
80 +
81 +Azerbaijan wants the plant closed due to empirical terrorism concerns – existence of the plant harms relations.
82 +Azeri 16
83 +Azeri press news agency. “Azerbaijan should bring the closure of the Metsamor nuclear power plant in the agenda of the UN”. Energy Central News. http://www.energycentral.com/news/azerbaijan-should-bring-closure-metsamor-nuclear-power-plant-agenda-un 5/15/16 LBE
84 +According to the parliamentarian, though the Metsamor nuclear power plant is not a nuclear
85 +AND
86 +the existence of the plant is a threat not only to Azerbaijan. "
87 +
88 +An Armenia-Azerbaijan war is extremely likely – relations are key.
89 +Amos 16
90 +Amos, Howard. “Rare Deadly Blast Hits Armenian Capital; Terrorist Attack Feared”. IBTimes. Howard Amos is the Russia correspondent for IBT Media/Newsweek. http://www.ibtimes.com/rare-deadly-blast-hits-armenian-capital-terrorist-attack-feared-2359440. 4/25/16 LBE
91 +Four days of clashes between Azerbaijani and Armenian troops in early April in Nagorno-
92 +AND
93 +war could break out “at any moment” in Nagorno-Karabakh.
94 +
95 +The nuclear issue is a source of regional conflict.
96 +Shaffer 16
97 +Shaffer, Brenda. “Fighting in the Caucasus: Implications for the Wider Region”. The Washington Institute. Brenda Shaffer is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Center for Eurasian, Russian, and East European Studies. She has also provided energy research and analysis to various governments and companies, including in Azerbaijan and the wider Caspian region. http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/fighting-in-the-caucasus-implications-for-the-wider-region. 4/7/16 LBE
98 +While Baku and Yerevan blame each other for the outburst of renewed fighting on April
99 +AND
100 +to strengthen cooperation between Washington and Baku after two years of rocky relations.
101 +
102 +This war would go global.
103 +Shaffer 16
104 +Shaffer, Brenda. “Fighting in the Caucasus: Implications for the Wider Region”. The Washington Institute. Brenda Shaffer is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Center for Eurasian, Russian, and East European Studies. She has also provided energy research and analysis to various governments and companies, including in Azerbaijan and the wider Caspian region. http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/fighting-in-the-caucasus-implications-for-the-wider-region. 4/7/16 LBE
105 +The current escalation could also draw in actors beyond the Caucasus, including in the
106 +AND
107 +its disposal to coerce the Israelis given its ongoing intervention in neighboring Syria.
108 +
109 +Global war goes nuclear.
110 +Nichols 14
111 +Nichols, Tom. “Five ways a nuclear wat could still happen”. The National Interest. Tom Nichols is Professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval War College and an adjunct at the Harvard Extension School. His most recent book is No Use: Nuclear Weapons and U.S. National Security (University of Pennsylvania, 2014) The views expressed are his own. http://nationalinterest.org/feature/five-ways-nuclear-war-could-still-happen-10665?page=4. 6/16/14 LBE
112 +As we move from mechanical errors to human agency, things actually get scarier.
113 +AND
114 +have a clarifying, rather than a panicking, effect on the enemy.
115 +
116 +Nuclear war leads to extinction.
117 +Starr 15
118 +Starr, Steven. “Nuclear War, Nuclear Winter, and Human Extinction” Federation of American Scientists. Steven Starr is the director of the University of Missouri’s Clinical Laboratory Science Program, as well as a senior scientist at the Physicians for Social Responsibility. https://fas.org/pir-pubs/nuclear-war-nuclear-winter-and-human-extinction/. 10/14/15 LBE
119 +Following the detonation (in conflict) of US and/or Russian launch-
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