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-Shifting back to Nuclear Power will reopen Japan’s economy |
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-Bloomberg 16 "Japan's Careful Return to Nuclear Power." Bloomberg.com. Bloomberg, n.d. Web. 11 Sept. 2016. MSG |
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-Five years after the nuclear plant meltdown at Fukushima, Japan has begun the controversial process of restarting its other reactors. The challenge for government and industry remains no less critical, however: to continually improve safety, lest they further undermine public support for what should be a reliable, climate-friendly fuel source.¶ Before Fukushima led the government to close all the country's reactors, Japan got almost 30 percent of its electricity from nuclear. Now it's importing about 84 percent in the form of coal, oil and liquefied natural gas. Some 45 new coal-fired power plants are scheduled to open, threatening to increase carbon emissions and worsen lung-damaging air pollution in Japan. The yen's slide since 2013 has made those fossil-fuel imports especially expensive, driving up the cost of electricity for consumers.¶ While use of renewable power in Japan, especially solar, is growing at a healthy clip, it remains under 15 percent ~-~- not enough to make up for the loss of nuclear power anytime soon.¶ That shouldn't be a problem. Under the right conditions, nuclear power should be able to provide a significant share of Japan's clean energy, and safely. The meltdown at Fukushima has done more than anything in history to make the Japanese people question the safety of nuclear power, but the government has been working to allay their concerns. The Nuclear Regulation Authority has been given a strong mandate and detached from the pro-nuclear economy ministry. Improved hiring rules have reinforced its independence from Japan's powerful bureaucracy. Indeed, the slow pace of reactor restarts thus far suggests the agency takes its responsibilities seriously.¶ Nuclear Power¶ Yet the Nuclear Regulation Authority still needs more staff and resources, as well as outside voices and expertise. And while the International Atomic Energy Agency has praised Japan's new regulatory framework, it has also warned that inspectors need to be given a freer hand to do their work properly.¶ To regain the public's trust, Japan's nuclear companies also need to fortify their own safety cultures. This has to start with accepting accountability for Fukushima. Executives from plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co. have finally been indicted for professional negligence. Now employees throughout Tepco and other nuclear companies need to be empowered to ask questions and challenge superiors.¶ Some common fears are probably overblown. Concerns about radioactive seafood, for example, have yet to be borne out. Only one confirmed case of cancer linked to Fukushima radiation has so far emerged. ¶ Nevertheless, Japanese authorities need to respect and address people's understandable worries. Ignoring them will only breed resentment and raise the risk that inevitable stumbles will set back the whole process of restarting reactors and, perhaps one day, commissioning new ones. By demonstrating that all reactors can be operated safely, the government, regulators and power companies can see that nuclear again provides reliable, emissions-free power for Japan. |
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-Japanese economic decline undermines global economy |
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-Stein, Foreign Policy Initiative New York fellow, 2013 |
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-(Andrew, “The TPP, Abenomics and America’s Asia Pivot”, 8-6, http://thediplomat.com/2013/08/the-tpp-abenomics-and-americas-asia-pivot/?allpages=yes) |
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-The failure of Abenomics, including the structural reforms driven by Japanese TPP negotiations, may pose severe global stability risks. If Abe fails at home, structural reforms will stall and with these, any hope for a Japanese recovery. There are two worrying scenarios – both bad for Japan and its friends. First, without reform implementation, Abe’s massive monetary easing program combined with aggressive deficit stimulus may lead to stagflation, a terrible mix of high inflation, stunted growth and rising unemployment. Second, given Japan’s enormous debt burden at 230 of GDP, a mere 2 increase in interest rates on Japanese Government Bonds will lift debt service costs to 100 of the government budget. This scenario is a real possibility given Japan’s persistent trade deficits and sluggish growth. In the worst case this may lead to a run on Japanese bonds – as they lose their safe haven status for foreign investors, with declining numbers of Japanese savers to pick up the slack. Either of these scenarios would edge Japan towards default with massive global ramifications that would dwarf the Eurozone crisis, let alone trashing the TPP negotiations. Worst of all, an economically desperate Japan would likely turn inwards with virulent nationalism, while ironically falling deeper into the arms of China, wrecking America’s Asia strategy. |
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-Nuclear war |
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-Merlini 11Senior Fellow – Brookings, 11 |
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- Cesare Merlini, nonresident senior fellow at the Center on the United States and Europe and chairman of the Board of Trustees of the Italian Institute for International Affairs (IAI) in Rome. He served as IAI president from 1979 to 2001. Until 2009, he also occupied the position of executive vice chairman of the Council for the United States and Italy, which he co-founded in 1983. His areas of expertise include transatlantic relations, European integration and nuclear non-proliferation, with particular focus on nuclear science and technology. A Post-Secular World? DOI: 10.1080/00396338.2011.571015 Article Requests: Order Reprints : Request Permissions Published in: journal Survival, Volume 53, Issue 2 April 2011 , pages 117 - 130 Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year Download PDF Download PDF (~357 KB) View Related Articles To cite this Article: Merlini, Cesare 'A Post-Secular World?', Survival, 53:2, 117 – 130 |
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-Two neatly opposed scenarios for the future of the world order illustrate the range of possibilities, albeit at the risk of oversimplification. The first scenario entails the premature crumbling of the post-Westphalian system. One or more of the acute tensions apparent today evolves into an open and traditional conflict between states, perhaps even involving the use of nuclear weapons. The crisis might be triggered by a collapse of the global economic and financial system, the vulnerability of which we have just experienced, and the prospect of a second Great Depression, with consequences for peace and democracy similar to those of the first. Whatever the trigger, the unlimited exercise of national sovereignty, exclusive self-interest and rejection of outside interference would likely be amplified, emptying, perhaps entirely, the half-full glass of multilateralism, including the UN and the European Union. Many of the more likely conflicts, such as between Israel and Iran or India and Pakistan, have potential religious dimensions. Short of war, tensions such as those related to immigration might become unbearable. Familiar issues of creed and identity could be exacerbated. One way or another, the secular rational approach would be sidestepped by a return to theocratic absolutes, competing or converging with secular absolutes such as unbridled nationalism. |