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1 +====Even phase out means substantial increase in nonrenewables- Germany ====
2 + **Glomsrod, et al, 2013** ~~CICERO Working Paper 2013:01, Energy Market Impacts of Nuclear Power Phase-Out Policies, Solveig Glomsrød, Wei Taoyuan, Torben Mideksa and Bjørn H. Samset March 2013, Web: www.cicero.uio.no, This study has been carried out as part of activities of the centre for "Strategic Challenges in International Climate and Energy Policy" (CICEP) at CICERO. The CICEP centre is mainly financed by the Research Council of Norway~~
3 +Abstract: After the Fukushima disaster in March 2011 safety concerns have escalated and policies
4 +AND
5 +base load power supply, which cannot easily be satisfied with renewable energies.
6 +
7 +
8 +====Nuclear power is key to solve warming—it's the only possible option that can meet demand in time to avoid warming====
9 +**Biello 13** ~~David Biello, Associate editor at Scientific American, "How Nuclear Power Can Stop Global Warming ," Scientific American, 12/12, http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-nuclear-power-can-stop-global-warming/~~
10 +In addition to reducing the risk of nuclear war, U.S. reactors
11 +AND
12 +, director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, where Hansen works.
13 +
14 +
15 +====Grid pressure ensures shift to fossil fuels for countries without huge import export like Germany. ====
16 +Brunnix Et al 12 ,,K. Bruninx, D. Madzharov, E. Delarue and W. D'haeseleer TME WORKING PAPER - Energy and Environment Last update: March 2012 Kenneth Bruninx received the M.S. degree in en- ergy engineering in 2011 from the Univeristy of Leuven (KU Leuven). Darin Madzharov received his B.Sc. degree in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science in 2009 and his M.Sc. degree in Communications, Systems and Electronics in 2011, both from Jacobs University Bremen, Germany. Currently, he is a PhD-researcher at the Univer- sity of Leuven (KU Leuven), TME branch (energy conversion). Erik Delarue received the M.S. degree in me- chanical engineering in 2005 and the Ph.D. degree in mechanical engineering in 2009, both from the University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Belgium. Currently, he is a postdoctoral research fellow of the Research Foundation – Flanders (F.W.O.), at the University of Leuven Energy Institute, TME branch (energy conversion). William D’haeseleer received his M.S. degree in Electro-Mechanical Engineering and a Master in Nuclear Engineering from the University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Belgium, in 1980 and 1982, respec- tively. He obtained another M.S. degree in Electrical Engineering (in plasmas controlled fusion) and the Ph.D. degree from the University of Wisconsin- Madison, USA, in 1983 and 1988, respectively. Currently, he is a full-time faculty member at the K.U.Leuven. He is full Professor in the College of Engineering of the K.U.Leuven. He is Director of the University of Leuven Energy Institute. He is also Head of the Division TME (energy conversion). Currently, he is working as a PhD-researcher at the University of Leuven Energy Institute, TME branch (energy conversion). "Impact Of The German Nuclear Phase-Out On Europe's Electricity Generation" INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, FLORENCE, ITALY,,
17 +These simulations lead to three conclusions. First, the sim- ulations clearly show
18 +AND
19 +and timely realisation of these extensions of the German electricity sys- tem.
20 +
21 +
22 +====Prefer – least variation and historical data set. ====
23 +Brunnix Et al 12 ,,K. Bruninx, D. Madzharov, E. Delarue and W. D'haeseleer TME WORKING PAPER - Energy and Environment Last update: March 2012 Kenneth Bruninx received the M.S. degree in en- ergy engineering in 2011 from the Univeristy of Leuven (KU Leuven). Darin Madzharov received his B.Sc. degree in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science in 2009 and his M.Sc. degree in Communications, Systems and Electronics in 2011, both from Jacobs University Bremen, Germany. Currently, he is a PhD-researcher at the Univer- sity of Leuven (KU Leuven), TME branch (energy conversion). Erik Delarue received the M.S. degree in me- chanical engineering in 2005 and the Ph.D. degree in mechanical engineering in 2009, both from the University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Belgium. Currently, he is a postdoctoral research fellow of the Research Foundation – Flanders (F.W.O.), at the University of Leuven Energy Institute, TME branch (energy conversion). William D’haeseleer received his M.S. degree in Electro-Mechanical Engineering and a Master in Nuclear Engineering from the University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Belgium, in 1980 and 1982, respec- tively. He obtained another M.S. degree in Electrical Engineering (in plasmas controlled fusion) and the Ph.D. degree from the University of Wisconsin- Madison, USA, in 1983 and 1988, respectively. Currently, he is a full-time faculty member at the K.U.Leuven. He is full Professor in the College of Engineering of the K.U.Leuven. He is Director of the University of Leuven Energy Institute. He is also Head of the Division TME (energy conversion). Currently, he is working as a PhD-researcher at the University of Leuven Energy Institute, TME branch (energy conversion). "Impact Of The German Nuclear Phase-Out On Europe's Electricity Generation" INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, FLORENCE, ITALY "Impact Of The German Nuclear Phase-Out On Europe's Electricity Generation" https://www.mech.kuleuven.be/en/tme/research/energy'environment/Pdf/wpen2012-05.pdf,,
24 +The model has been calibrated based on the historical RES shares, the total demand
25 +AND
26 +coal, lignite) have slightly higher utilization rates compared to Eurelectric data.
27 +
28 +
29 +====Shift independently turns case- Fossil fuels don’t equally spread energy, drilling releases carcinogens and tanks salaries of locals, and pollution disproportionately affects minority populations. ====
30 +,,Andrew,, Breiner 14 ,,"How Fossil Fuels Make Inequality Worse" Sep 17, 2014 https://thinkprogress.org/how-fossil-fuels-make-inequality-worse-61acdb913aa6~~#.ol3pb7bfb,,
31 +There’s a whole line of thinking, popular with the fossil fuel industry and its
32 +AND
33 +to a changing climate, and for recovering from disasters after the fact.
34 +
35 +
36 +====Climate change sucks and Nuclear power is key- low carbons. ====
37 +IAEA 15 ,,International Atomic Energy Agency "CLIMATE CHANGE AND NUCLEAR POWER 2015" Vienna Austria 2015,,
38 +The contribution of WG II to the IPCC’s AR5 ~~8~~ assesses the patterns
39 +AND
40 +the carbon intensity of global energy supply and addressing the climate change challenge.
41 +
42 +
43 +====Turns case- Natives will be the first to be hit by climate change since they’re so tied to the environment. This also multiplies all other impacts. ====
44 +United Nations 07 ,,"Climate change and indigenous peoples" http://www.un.org/en/events/indigenousday/pdf/Backgrounder'ClimateChange'FINAL.pdf,,
45 + The effects of climate change on indigenous peoples Indigenous peoples are among the first
46 +AND
47 +in order to access water and depend on government support for their survival.
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1 +Alston, Dosch
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1 +Harrison
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1 +Kinkaid Yang Neg
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1 +SEPT OCT Warming DA
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1 +Greenhill RR

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