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+A Socialist candidate can win next year’s French presidential election, but it’s really close now- Le Pen is running a tight second after Nice |
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+Briancon 7/18 Briancon, Pierre. Pierre Briançon is a Senior Correspondent, based in Paris. Hx came to Politico after eight years as a writer and editor for Reuters Breakingviews, the financial commentary publication. Hx has been a columnist for Le Monde, a Paris bureau chief for Dow Jones Newswires, and foreign correspondent (Moscow, Washington) then editor-in-chief for Libération, the French daily. "Nice Upends French Politics." Politico EU. POLITICO SPRL, 18 July 2016. Web. 11 Aug. 2016. http://www.politico.eu/article/attack-politics-erupt-soon-after-nice-attacks-france-isil/. **We object to the gendered language of this evidence |
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+The positioning on the Right is important, because the conservative primary is looking more |
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+AND |
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+he doesn’t look to the French like the man who can protect them. |
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+ |
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+Specifically, Le Pen can win if there is any slip up by the government if it passes unpopular policies, economically harmful policies, or policies that they distrust because it’s pro big-government or business. The brink is now. |
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+Chrisafis 7/20 Chrisafis, Angelique. "'Well Done Britain': Brexit Vote Boosts French Far-right's Election Machine." The Guardian. Guardian News and Media, 20 July 2016. Web. 12 Aug. 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/20/well-done-britain-brexit-vote-boosts-french-far-right-front-national-election-machine. *Bracketed for Clarity *We object to the gendered language of this evidence |
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+But Brexit — which has provided the Front National’s leader, Marine Le Pen, |
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+AND |
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+has been in government. Le Pen is a woman who loves France.” |
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+ |
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+Plan is extremely unpopular in France, and is tied to unpopular big government nuclear policy the public doesn’t trust-causes Le Pen |
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+Schneider 8 (Schneider, Mycle. Mycle Schneider works as independent international energy nuclear policy consultant. Between 1983 and April 2003 Mycle Schneider was executive director of the energy information service WISE-Paris. Since 2004 hx is in charge of the Environment and Energy Strategies Lecture of the International Master of Science for Project Management for Environmental and Energy Engineering at the French Ecole des Mines in Nantes. In 2007 hx has been appointed as a member of the International Panel on Fissile Materials (IPFM), based at Princeton University (www.fissilematerials.org). In 2006-2007 hx was part of a consultant consortium that assessed nuclear decommissioning and waste management funding issues on behalf of the European Commission. In 2005 hx has been appointed as nuclear security specialist to advise the UK Committee on Radioactive Waste Management (CoRWM). Mycle Schneider has given evidence and held briefings at Parliaments in Australia, Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Switzerland, UK and at the European Parliament. Hx has lectured extensively on four continents including at Carlton University, Ottawa (Canada), Tsinghua University (China), Freie Universität, Berlin (Germany) and Ritsumeikan University, Kyoto (Japan). Between 1998 and 2003 hx has been an advisor to the French Environment Minister’s Office and to the Belgian Minister for Energy and Sustainable Development. Mycle Schneider has provided information and consulting services to a large variety of clients including the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Greenpeace International, the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW), UNESCO, Worldwide Fund for Nature (WWF), the European Commission, the European Parliament’s General Directorate for Research, the Oxford Research Group, the French National Scientific Research Council (CNRS), the French Institute for Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety (IRSN). In 1997 hx was honoured with the Right Livelihood Award (“Alternative Nobel Prize”) together with Jinzaburo Takagi for their work on plutonium issues (http://rightlivelihood.org/recip.htm). "Nuclear Power in France." Beyond the Myth, Commissioned by the Greens-EFA Group in the European Parliament, December (2008).) |
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+The French public’s attitude towards nuclear energy is similar to the average in the EU |
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+AND |
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+followed at a fair distance by the nuclear safety authorities with 62. 91 |
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+ |
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+Le Pen and the National Front want a “Frexit”- that causes EU to collapse. |
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+Chrisafis 7/20 Chrisafis, Angelique. Angelique Chrisafis is the Guardian's Paris correspondent. "'Well Done Britain': Brexit Vote Boosts French Far-right's Election Machine." The Guardian. Guardian News and Media, 20 July 2016. Web. 12 Aug. 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/20/well-done-britain-brexit-vote-boosts-french-far-right-front-national-election-machine **We object to the gendered language of the evidence |
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+The EU is on the brink of collapse, as two of its main “ |
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+AND |
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+If France leaves the European Union, the European Union no longer exists.” |
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+ |
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+EU collapse drags down the world economy |
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+Forbes 15 (Forbes, Steve. Malcolm Stevenson "Steve" Forbes, Jr. is an American publishing executive, who was twice a candidate for the nomination of the Republican Party for President. Forbes is the Editor-in-Chief of Forbes, a business magazine. Forbes is the son of longtime Forbes publisher Malcolm Forbes, and the grandson of that publication's founder, B.C. Forbes. "Will Europe Drag Down The World?" Forbes. Forbes Magazine, 11 Feb. 2015. Web. 12 Aug. 2016.) |
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+WHILE GREECE IS DOMINATING the headlines, two other recent pieces of news underscore why |
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+AND |
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+Dollar Threatens the Global Economy—And What We Can Do About It.) |
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+ |
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+Global economic decline risks multiple nuclear wars and mass nuke prolif |
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+Kemp 12 (Geoffrey, Director of Regional Strategic Programs at The Nixon Center, “The East Moves West: India, China, and Asia’s Growing Presence in the Middle East” 2012. Pg. 2032., Accessed 8/13/2016) |
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+The second scenario, called Mayhem and Chaos, is the opposite of the first |
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+AND |
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+expected, with dire consequences for two-thirds of the planet’s population. |
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+ |
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+Prolif causes extinction ~-~- deterrence fails and can’t replicate Cold War stability |
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+Kissinger et al 11 (Shultz was secretary of state from 1982 to 1989. Mr. Perry was secretary of defense from 1994 to 1997. Mr. Kissinger was secretary of state from 1973 to 1977. Mr. Nunn is former chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee (“Deterrence in the Age of Nuclear Proliferation: The doctrine of mutual assured destruction is obsolete in the post‐Cold War era”, Wall Street Journal, March 7, 2011, http://www.nti.org/c_press/Deterrence_in_the_Age_of_Nuclear_Proliferation.pdf, ZBurdette, Accessed 8/14/2016) |
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+As long as there has been war, there have been efforts to deter actions |
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+AND |
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+are addressed. We must therefore redouble our efforts to resolve these issues. |