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+====Trump could win if there's one more disruption—Clinton's map is volatile and she's being unstrategic.==== |
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+**Silver 11/1** (Nate, acclaimed statistician who correctly predicted all 50 states and DC in the 2012 election, "Election Update: Yes, Donald Trump Has A Path To Victory," 538, http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-yes-donald-trump-has-a-path-to-victory/) OS |
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+But the thing is, this doesn't really have anything to do with an intrinsic |
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+AND |
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+instead, Michigan and Wisconsin are much more likely to swing the election. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Liberal SCOTUS rulings become crucial Trump rallying points and sway uneasy Republicans—aff action and immigration prove.==== |
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+**Caldwell 6/23** (Leigh Ann, NBC, "Supreme Court a Rare GOP Rallying Point on Trump," 2016, http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/some-conservatives-use-supreme-court-sole-reason-back-trump-n597841) OS |
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+Two major Supreme Court rulings Thursday on immigration and affirmative action could help provide more |
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+AND |
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+," he added, noting that Trump has taken steps in that direction. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Police brutality reforms like the plan will trigger right-wing backlash and get Trump supporters to the polls.==== |
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+**Yokley 7/12** (Eli, Morning Consult, Fortune, "Poll: Voters Are More Worried by Violence Against Police Than Police Brutality," 2016, http://fortune.com/2016/07/12/police-violence-brutality-poll-voters/) OS |
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+More than half of voters said they had very serious concerns about violence against police |
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+AND |
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+78 percent of African American voters but just 39 percent of white voters. |
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+ |
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+ |
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+====Trump sucks—he's racist and connected to the KKK, and turns policing, Islamophobia, poverty, overseas oppression, and security dangers.==== |
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+**Rubin 8/21** (Jennifer, Jennifer Rubin writes the Right Turn blog for The Post, offering reported opinion from a conservative perspective. "Here's what African Americans have to lose if Trump is elected," Washington Post, 2016, https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2016/08/21/heres-what-african-americans-have-to-lose-if-trump-is-elected/) OS bracketed for efficiency |
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+Trump has championed a strict law-and-order agenda that rejects the suggestion |
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+AND |
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+. It's far from clear many Americans are going to fall for this. |