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+Banning nuclear power causes a switch to fossil fuels, specifically coal. Weart ‘12 |
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+Spencer R. Weart After receiving a doctorate in physics and astrophysics, Spencer Weart worked on solar physics before he turned to the study of the history of science. From 1974 until his retirement in 2009, he was director of the Center for History of Physics at the American Institute of Physics. He has published numerous papers and books, including The Discovery of Global Warming and The Rise of Nuclear Fear, which was published last year. “Shunning Nuclear Power Will Lead to a Warmer World” 26 MAR 2012. http://e360.yale.edu/feature/shunning_new_nuclear_power_plants_will_lead_to_warmer_world/2510/ |
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+"These blows to ... burning terrify me." |
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+That’s by far the most likely scenario: |
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+A) Empirically proven – Germany’s phase-out caused an increase in coal. Kharecha and Hansen ‘13 |
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+Dr. Pushker A. Kharecha and Dr. James E. Hansen Professors and associate director/Director at Earth Institute, Columbia University “Response to Comment on “Prevented Mortality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Historical and Projected Nuclear Power”” Environ. Sci. Technol., 2013, 47 (12), pp 6718–6719 RY |
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+"These issues are highlighted ... fuel-fired power plants." |
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+B) Electric energy isn’t interchangeable – fossil fuels are the only option after phase-out. Kharecha and Hansen 2 |
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+Dr. Pushker A. Kharecha and Dr. James E. Hansen Professors and associate director/Director at Earth Institute, Columbia University “Response to Comment on “Prevented Mortality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Historical and Projected Nuclear Power”” Environ. Sci. Technol., 2013, 47 (12), pp 6718–6719 RY |
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+"Sovacool et al.1 begin their ... base load power." |
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+C) Renewables don’t have the capacity to replace nuclear – even new tech can’t solve. Brinton and Freed ‘15 |
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+Samuel Brinton and Josh Freed “When Nuclear Ends: How Nuclear Retirements Might Undermine Clean Power Plan Progress” Third Way. August 21, 2015. http://www.thirdway.org/report/when-nuclear-ends-how-nuclear-retirements-might-undermine-clean-power-plan-progress RY M.J. “Why is renewable energy so expensive?” The Economist. Jan 5th 2014. http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2014/01/economist-explains-0 RY |
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+"The greater challenge ... the past decade.19" |
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+3 Impacts |
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+1) Warming |
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+Warming is getting worse – we need to cut emissions or we’ll cross a critical threshold – global scientific consensus. Harvey ‘13 |
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+Harvey 13 Fiona, Guardian Environment Reporter, IPCC climate report: human impact is 'unequivocal', September 27 2013, http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/sep/27/ipcc-climate-report-un-secretary-general |
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+"World leaders must ... before taking climate" |
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+Warming is the highest risk of extinction and outweighs nuke war, terror, and other impacts. Deibel ‘07 |
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+Terry L. Deibel former professor of foreign affairs strategy at the National War College “Foreign Affairs Strategy: Logic for American Statecraft” Cambridge University Press. 2007. |
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+"Finally, there is ... on this planet." |
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+2) Turns the advantage - Natural gas is the worst form of Russian Expansionism. Hermant ‘14 |
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+ (ABC's Moscow correspondent from 2010-13. He returned in March 2014 to cover the Ukraine crisis from Moscow and Kiev. (Norman, “Russia's natural gas is Vladimir Putin's political and economical weapon,” ABC Australia, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-04-16/natural-gas-is-putins-political-and-economical-weapon/5394030) |
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+"For Vladimir Putin, .... the European fabric.¶" |
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+3) Coal burning spurs nuclear prolif. Turns their advantage. Rhodes and Beller 2000 |
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+Rhodes and Beller, nuclear engineer, Los Alamos and nuclear issues expert, 2K (The need for nuclear power, Foreign Affairs, February) |
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+"Nuclear proliferation is ... from the ash." |